{"id":247,"date":"2021-05-08T21:34:28","date_gmt":"2021-05-08T21:34:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.valleau.art\/blog\/?p=247"},"modified":"2021-05-08T21:34:28","modified_gmt":"2021-05-08T21:34:28","slug":"mtbf-mean-time-between-failures-or-why-your-hard-drive-wont-last-170-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/mtbf-mean-time-between-failures-or-why-your-hard-drive-wont-last-170-years\/","title":{"rendered":"MTBF &#8211; Mean Time Between Failures or why your hard drive won&#8217;t last 170 years&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I ran across this a while back:<\/p>\n<p>http:\/\/www.electronista.com\/articles\/08\/12\/17\/toshiba.512gb.ssd\/<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;in which the author breathlessly proclaims: &#8220;Longevity is also a focus with about one million hours (114 years) between failures thanks to reduced wear on potentially short-lived memory cells.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Wrong.<\/p>\n<p>I often get asked about MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and it&#8217;s amazing how many &#8220;industry people&#8221; don&#8217;t understand it.<\/p>\n<p>And for those who have already figured out that their 1.5M MTBF drives don&#8217;t last 171 years, but are not sure what that MTBF thing is&#8230; here&#8217;s a vastly oversimplified quickie:<\/p>\n<p>Why your hard drive doesn&#8217;t last 150 years.<\/p>\n<p>(There are about 8700 hours in a year, but to make this example simple, let&#8217;s call it 10,000.)<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how MTBF works: it&#8217;s an aggregate of many units based on expected life of a single unit.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s say you have a hard drive that is warranted to last 3 years, or 30,000 hours.<\/p>\n<p>You put it in a server, and behold, it lasts 3 years. You take it out and put in a new one, and that also lasts 3 years. So you replace it with a new one, and that too&#8230;. well, you get it.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s say you keep doing that and finally, on the 50th unit, only two years into it&#8217;s life, it breaks.<\/p>\n<p>You now have 3 years or 30,000 hours per unit, times 50 units = 1,500,000.<\/p>\n<p>And that&#8217;s your MTBF.<\/p>\n<p>So anyone who says &#8220;Wow! MTBF of 1.5 million hours! that mean this thing will last (1.5M \/ 10000) 150 years!&#8221; -clearly- doesn&#8217;t know what they&#8217;re talking about.<\/p>\n<p>(I have grossly oversimplified the description of MTBF calculation in order to make the general point that it is NOT life-expectancy. MTBF is more complex than my example, including &#8220;infant mortality&#8221; and &#8220;wear out&#8221; phases; &#8220;theoretical&#8221; vs &#8220;operational&#8221; MTBF and so on, but the gist of what&#8217;s here is correct.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I ran across this a while back: http:\/\/www.electronista.com\/articles\/08\/12\/17\/toshiba.512gb.ssd\/ &#8230;in which the author breathlessly proclaims: &#8220;Longevity is also a focus with about one million hours (114 years) between failures thanks to reduced wear on potentially short-lived memory cells.&#8221; Wrong. I often get asked about MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and it&#8217;s amazing how many &#8220;industry people&#8221; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mac-tips"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=247"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":248,"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247\/revisions\/248"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valleau.art\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}